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BCOM index level

 

This chart shows the Bloomberg commodities index price level, from January 6, 2010, until March 1, 2022. The first data point came in at 145 in January 6, 2010. From here, the index dropped to a trough of 122 by June 4, 2010. Then, it rose to an all-time high of 175.4 on April 29, 2011. From there, the index declined to 126.8 by June 1, 2012. Here, it rapidly rose to 152 by September 14, 2012. From there, it gradually declined to 122.3 on January 9, 2014. Then, it rose to a relative peak of 138.7 on April 29, 2014. Here, it dropped to a trough of 72.9 by January 20, 2016. Then, it rose to 89.9 by June 8, 2016. Here, it declined a bit before rising to 89.4 by February 10, 2017. Then, it declined again to 79.4, before rising to another relative peak of 90.5 by April 18, 2018. From there, it gradually declined to 81.6 by January 6, 2020. Here, it dropped to an all-time low of 59.6 by April 27, 2020. From there, it rose to a relative peak of 105.8 by October 25, 2021, before settling down at 95.5 on December 15, 2021. From there until recently, it rose to 119.29 by March 1, 2022.

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Top Market Takeaways Quick shot: The energy market is under pressure

Published Mar 03, 2022
The Know Top Market Takeaways

The Bloomberg commodities index tracks prices of a basket of commodities (think of oil, natural gas, corn, wheat, copper, gold, and so forth). And, lately, prices have been soaring. Let’s break it down.

 

Russia produces ~12% of the world’s oil and ~17% of natural gas, while Ukraine exports ~13% of global corn and ~12% of wheat. Since the start of last week, prices skyrocketed. Oil prices, for instance, rallied and WTI is now trading above $111/barrel for the first time since 2011 and the Bloomberg Commodity Index had its largest rally since 2009 yesterday.

 

So, what’s the issue with higher prices? Well, 40% of Europe’s natural gas and 27% of its oil comes from Russia, and 30% of that energy is transported through Ukrainian territory. The United States, on the other hand, imports just 1%-3% of its oil and gas from Russia. Thus, it seems like higher energy prices will be harder on Europeans than they will be on Americans.

 

High energy prices could keep inflation high, making it even harder for central banks as they seek to promote economic growth.

COMMODITIES CONTINUE THEIR CLIMB

Line graph of BCOM index level
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. Data is as of March 1, 2022.
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All market data from Bloomberg Finance L.P., 3/2/22.

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Disclosures

Our Top Market Takeaways for March 2nd, 2022.

All companies referenced are shown for illustrative purposes only, and are not intended as a recommendation or endorsement by J.P. Morgan in this context.

Not all option strategies are suitable for all i...

Read more disclosures about this article

Our Top Market Takeaways for March 2nd, 2022.

All companies referenced are shown for illustrative purposes only, and are not intended as a recommendation or endorsement by J.P. Morgan in this context.

Not all option strategies are suitable for all investors. Certain strategies may expose investors to significant potential risks and losses. For additional risk information, please read the “Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options”. We advise investors to consult their tax advisors and legal counsel about the tax implications of these strategies. Investors are urged to carefully consider whether options or option-related products or strategies are suitable for their needs.

All market and economic data as of March 2022 and sourced from Bloomberg and FactSet unless otherwise stated.

We believe the information contained in this material to be reliable but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. Opinions, estimates, and investment strategies and views expressed in this document constitute our judgment based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice.

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The views, opinions, estimates and strategies expressed herein constitutes the author's judgment based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice, and may differ from those expressed by other areas of J.P. Morgan. This information in no way constitutes J.P. Morgan Research and should not be treated as such. You should carefully consider your needs and objectives before making any decisions. For additional guidance on how this information should be applied to your situation, you should consult your advisor.

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